Flash pronounced terminal, dead within two years

by: John DyeJanuary 27, 2016
1.4K

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She’s had a good long life. Back in the pre-YouTube days of the early 2000’s, Flash was the internet’s go-to medium for video content. From Albino Blacksheep to eBaum’s World, it seemed Flash was everywhere you turned. Now, with the rise of video streaming services and the all-powerful gif-killer webm, Flash has become and cumbersome and decrepit medium that’s becoming less and less relevant. Adobe has announced that they believe Flash will be completely dead by 2018.

We should remember her as she was, however. After all, who could forget the enigmatic joys of Badger Badger Badger Badger Mushroom? Still, with Android dropping Flash support all the way back in 2012, the writing was on the wall. A 2016 global media format report released by Encoding.com revealed that Flash only represented six percent of mobile and web video in 2015. That’s a massive plunge from the 21 percent the medium held in 2014.

galaxy-s4-android-youtube-aaSee also: How to install Adobe Flash Player on Android64

So what comes next? Well, the H.264 video codec has been around for 13 years, and it’s still going strong. As of 2016, the codec is responsible for fully 72 percent of online videos. However, the International Telecommunications Union is looking to succeed H.264 with H.265, also called HEVC. Right now it only represents six percent of the market, and it’s getting trounced by WebM which, unlike HEVC, is royalty-free. Nevertheless, since HEVC can reproduce identical content at half the bitrate as H.264, it’s expected that this will eventually become the next dominant mainstream codec.

What are your thoughts regarding the demise of Flash? Share with us some of your fondest memories of the old girl in the comments below.

Next: 10 best video streaming apps for Android

  • You lost me with the comments on the future of h.264/h.265/WebM. What does h.265 adoption (or lack thereof) have anything to do with the Flash demise? Android does h.264 just fine without flash. The adoption of one is not dependent on the future of the other. If anything, the ability for different platforms to accept one (or more) standards that they all accept (even good old h.264) is a sign of the death of Flash.

    • JosephHindy

      Keep in mind that support for all the various codecs and such requires a lot of work. It’s much easier (and more streamlined) to phase out old technologies to make room for new ones.

      • Neel Gupta

        First, the new technology built to replace the old, has to go mainstream.
        In this case WebAssembly has to take over Flash.
        HTML 5 is incapable of good graphics.

  • AbbyZFresh

    And replaced by what?

    • Diego

      html5

  • jerry

    The move to adaptive(half-assed solution) or responsive(perfect solution) websites and away from splitting websites that distinguish between desktop and mobile is playing a large part in the demise of flash.
    Pity the story never covered Firefox’s fight since 2002 to rid the world of flash as it was proprietary software.
    As for webm, from memory only the new Qualcomm SD 820, the Nvidia k1, the MediaTek MT6795, the Intel Katy Lake, Rockchip RK3188, Amlogic S812 allow for hardware acceleration of VP9(webm) playback. So, devices with older silicon chips than 2015 might suffer battery drain decoding vp9 via software, so H264 will continue to be fed to them as they have hardware acceleration for decoding that.

  • Goblin Shark

    One of my favorite sites is newgrounds

    • smokebomb

      Pimp’s Quest is one of my favorite flash games.

  • Chris

    I remember the days when it was called Macromedia flash. Adobe didn’t buy them out till about ten years ago.

    It’s really time to move on. Flash based websites (ones with hover overs etc) don’t work well for touch based devices. We have many sites for video adapting to new standards, and huge app stores on both platforms with a tons of games to choose from.

    • Neel Gupta

      Flash is NOT moving on, until WebAssembly takes over.

  • as a pure animation tool flash is still one of the best to use with the closest competition being Toonboom harmony (which actually is a more powerful animation tool). i do all my animation work in it and it still works well for that. i have read that adobe will be releasing replacement animation software that will focus more on just the animation aspects of flash and less on the programming/interactive side and it will be rebuilt from the ground up based on the HTML5 code structure.

  • aaloo

    and steve jobs is vindicated.

    • Scr-U-gle

      Funny how Softies/Androne fanbois always always try and slag off Steve Jobs until they catch up years later.

      I remember when dos/Windows was 8/16-bit, they slagged off Apple for being 32-bit, nothing really changes, they are still years behind the curve.

      • FrostyHugs

        >Google
        >Microsoft
        >behind Apple
        So why do you think you can call people fanboys when you’re clearly backing Apple on an Android site?

  • Daikenkini

    RIP Newgrounds unless they manage to adapt

  • flye

    Flash is for porn. It won’t die unless porn sites stop using flash videos

    • Chris

      Depends on what type of porn

  • Neel Gupta

    Flash is NOT going to die, until WebAssembly takes over.
    HTML 5 is bad at graphics.

  • Armaan Modi

    ZOMBO.COM is flash!!

  • smokebomb

    In my graphics class we learned how to make flash movies. That was probably the most cumbersome “tool” I’ve ever used.