We hope there’s still room for more numbers and statistics regarding the mobile space in your life. While we’ve seen IDC released its worldwide figures for the smartphone and tablet race in Q3, here’s one more coming your way from Mary Meeker, an analyst and a partner of research firm KPCB, renowned for her annual Internet Trends report.
The 2012 Internet Trends report was actually released in May this year, so the following is more of a mid-year update of what’s hot and what’s not, instead of a full-blown report.
Starting with the adoption rate of smartphones, she noted that smartphones still have a long way to go to match the number of “dumb” phones out there. By the end of the year, it’s forecasted that there will be 1 billion smartphone users, compared to 5 billion people who own feature phones.
As for the juicier bits, the report says that Android adoption rate amongst smartphone users is growing 6 times faster than that of the iPhone. In case you’re wondering, as noted by Tech Crunch, the adoption rate for Google’s mobile OS was only four times faster back in May.
Google is also winning the race in the shipped Internet-enabled devices category in the first quarter of 2012 against adversaries like Windows PCs and iOS devices. With roughly 90 million units shipped, shipments for Android smartphones have passed Windows PCs for the first time ever.
Lastly, Meeker expects big things for smartphones and tablets of the world, where their combined numbers are expected to exceed the install base of PCs by the end of the second quarter of 2013.
Are you surprised to see Android phones picking up an even faster pace than the iPhones? Do you think PC is slowly going the way of the Dodo bird?
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PCs aren’t going anywhere, but the days of people having multiple PCs are probably dying down. If my own experience is mimicking trends then I’m seeing more people relying on a single powerful central computer, and having multiple web enabled mobile devices, such as tablets TV set top boxes or Chrome-books (All areas were Android is strong and were microsoft is weak).
PC will most likely not die because they offer terabytes more storage and are vastly more powerful than other devices. They will always be favored in many different entertainment industry’s. PCs will be the ‘smartphone’ for your home, as touch screen monitors are dropping in price. We have a few generations at this rate before they are considered excess.. Unless they develop AI’s that would require the technology we have yet to achieve, and no Siri in not AI ;P
With 64 bit ARM, multi-user, multi-sandboxs for multi windowed Android/Chrome thin clients probably coming in spring 2014 business should switch to Google’s cloud and never look back. Apple and Microsoft had the same data as Google but failed to build the big data learning machine for product improvement. Closed gardens may talk Hadoop but it comes out HaPoop.
PR about AI interfaces for PCs is not the same as doing the engineering to make a future for MS Office on Macs and PCs.
PCs ARE going the way of the Dodo bird.
The information given no way suggests the extinction of the PC – a very slight decline of a mature product, easily explained by the increase in choice of device that means for *some* people, a ‘traditional’ PC may no longer be required. (the ‘post PC PC’ may well kill the current PC, but that’s a whole different discussion!).
The graph may be suggesting that IOS is reaching maturity – but the fashion / frequent relaunch market makes that an unreliable claim too.
But it is clear that Android most certainly is still growing very fast indeed, confirming the (OK obvious) prediction that once the smartphone / tablet markets eventually mature, Apple will probably retain only a niche; a luxury car in a field of more functional models. Unlike the BMW, however, I’d guess that Apple will probably retain over 5% for many years to come, given that they have so successfully claimed the ‘cool’ factor, and despite reality setting in, have retained that image.
Human beings being what they are, I suspect that Asian companies like Samsung will not be able to supplant Apple. Maybe Motorola should concentrate on the luxury market?