Everyone is looking forward to Google Glass. Whether you want a pair or not, you’re a t least curious to see just what these things are capable of. It’s the reason for so many copycat items, as well as the recent smartwatch trend. We’re all just so curious about wearable tech!
A new forecast by IHS states that there could be a market for Google Glass, and other glass-like items. IHS seems to have rose-colored glasses on, as they predict a possible 10 million shipments by 2016. Of course, their flipside is about 1 million devices shipped… so we’re skeptical at such a disparate number.
How do they arrive at this conclusion? Nobody really knows. It’s a forecast, but has no real basis. Glass, and everything like it, is far too green to predict any kind of legitimate sales numbers. IHS made some rather vanilla comments to cover themselves, too. Their senior analyst, Theo Ahadome, said “The applications are far more critical than the hardware when it comes to the success of Google Glass. In fact, the hardware is much less relevant to the growth of Google Glass than for any other personal communications device in recent history. This is because the utility of Google Glass is not readily apparent, so everything will depend on the appeal of the apps.”
Essentially, this means exactly what it means for every other device… wait for good apps before diving in, unless you want to suffer the growing pains. Everyone who has tried Glass out has been very positive about it, but put that in perspective for a minute. The program is currently filled with people who were/are clamoring to be involved. Many of those reactions may just be giddy bias. Without a commercially available pair, we have no indication of how well or poorly Glass will be received.
We hope for the best with glass, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Glass has a lot of good energy behind it, but there are other variables, such as the supply chain issues that seem to dog Google, which will have a hand in deciding its fate. This report is basing sales numbers on popularity, which is never truly solvent.